Sports Betting Sucks – Why Do I Keep Losing?

If you find yourself saying that sports betting sucks, then you really need to learn sports betting secret #3.

Sports Betting Secret #3: Keep Your Emotions In Check

Like I said above, this is something that is much easier said than done. This is the part that kills most sports bettors. Sports betting, in theory, should be 100% logical. You set up some rules and you follow them 100% of the time. However, it can be very difficult to not get upset if you are losing; especially if you are betting a lot of money.

But if you understand the law of averages, you will know that losing streaks sometimes happen just like winning streaks happen. Losing money can be a very emotional thing for people. As much as I advise people not to, they often bet money that they cannot afford to lose. NEVER DO THAT. Then they start making panic bets hoping to get lucky, and that almost never works out.

You have to set up your betting system so that you will not let your emotions get the best of you. This includes proper money management so that you are not betting with money that you cannot afford to lose. This also includes sticking to the system and commit to only taking the bets that the system tells you to take. That way you will be able to set your emotions about the games aside. You want to run your sports betting as if it was a business, not entertainment.

I have found that merely starting to view my sports betting objectively as a business, has helped me completely detach my emotions from the betting. And right at the time that I was able to realize this, I really started having a lot more success as a sports bettor. I firmly believe that mastering your emotions so that you can effectively handle the ups and downs really separates the sports bettors that make big bucks and those that do not.

Make Money On Sports Betting

Millions of people participate in sports gambling each and every day. The overwhelming consensus opinion is that it is impossible to win money from sports betting. While it is true that it can be extremely difficult to make money on sports betting, it is not impossible.

One comparable is the stock exchange. So many people lose tons and tons of money on the stock exchange, but so many people are millionaires because of it. The same applies in gambling. Every system in our society has inefficiency. If gambling, or any other business were perfectly efficient, then there wouldn’t be any reason for anyone to gamble on sports.

If you’re currently failing to make a significant profit in sports gambling, the main thing you should try and do is better control your bank account. Let’s say you have $100. You’re probably wagering between $10 and $25 per bet. Lose a few bets and you’re done. To remedy this, never bet more than 1% to 5% of your bankroll. This will allow for sustainable growth over time rather than immediate spikes or dips in your account.

You should also try and analyze your bets extremely thoroughly and give them star ratings, or confidence ratings on a one star to five star scale. A five star bet may be a $5 bet, whereas a two star bet may only be for $1. Assuming you’ve done your research correctly, your five star bets should allow you to make profit over the one or two star losses that might come.

But you need to make sure you’re doing the proper research necessary. This may be an all day activity, figuring a consensus on the game, as well as keeping up with injury reports. If you don’t think you can do this, then there are definitely other options. These are sports betting systems, and sport handicapping services.

For example, an NBA betting system may say that when a team loses three straight on the road and are at home their next game, bet the spread. Systems like this often have great success, you just need to find the right system because there are so many scams in this industry. The same goes for sport handicappers. Find the right one, and you can hit on 60% – 65% of your games, but finding a bad one-which is much more likely- and you can lose your whole bank account.

Sports Betting Revolution – Unlock the Spread Monopoly and Collusion

What If the betting line or spread was established by four sports advisory companies without collusion or previous knowledge of each others numbers!

Lets face some facts about this number or point spread that usually comes from one Sports Advisory Group. This number is sold or distributed to the sports betting outlets online and the legal Sports Books in Nevada. These outlets put their little tweak on the line by 1/2 point or 1 point or an extra $5 on the money odds. However, everybody will post their number which is the same or within a point of each other. This is the equivalent of price fixing and collusion in any other industry.

How come the Sports Betting Industry has the same price or spread on their betting board? WHY – because nobody wants to rock the boat!

What if this process of establishing a betting line was not a monopoly but was provided by at least four sports consulting groups that were independent of each other. Each group would then post their calculated number for the worldwide sports betting outlets to buy and use for their operation.

This new mode of operation would unlock the monopoly that exists when the line is established. Now what happens? Would some books dare to post numbers that are different from others by 4 or 5 points either way. I doubt it since nobody wants to rock that boat. Is this collusion by the sports books so they can keep their share of the market and not create a price or point spread war.

The process of constructing the point spread number is probably done through a software program with all the statistics and other information to get a base number. Then the actual number is refined to include public perception as to where the public will place their money. It is no secret that Sports Books speculate or predict at what number the public will be evenly divided.

There are a number of times when the line is not even close to the final score. They do come close about 65% of the time. However, when the spread is minus 7 and the favorite wins by 21 points or the underdog wins outright, their number is way off.

If that minus 7 point favorite is listed at minus 11 points at another outlet would there be a Revolution among Sports Book operators. Would this difference of opinion cause a lot of anxiety with casino management. I am sure they would question each others actions after doing the same thing together all these years.

For a true and balanced market to emerge in any industry, there should be some options and competition among the players involved. A Betting Exchange is very close to a more balanced betting market since the competition is against other bettors. The spread is the same but the money odds are much better with more options.

If the Sports Books in Nevada and online books decide to re-arrange their Sports Book operations to include some alternatives to the spread, they will increase their handle and be more competitive. I would install some form of Spread Betting that is big in Europe. Allow more options with alternative lines and charge a little more vigorish. Some online books have alternative run lines on baseball. They post the run line at minus 1.5 runs on the favorite and underdog in the same game.

The Sports Betting outlets need to become more innovative to maintain a market share. We know they probably will not “rock that boat” unless one or more sports betting venues develops a rogue or maverick mentality. This would be a big gamble that could payoff and increase market share. However, it is ironical that sports books do not want to be in the gambling business. They just want to collect their commission and avoid too much risk. They are more concerned about the heavy hitters than the small average recreational bettors who lose more often.

Promoting or seeing changes in any financial markets is similar to getting people to stop smoking or obese people to lose weight. Change is difficult for a lot of people and businesses. As they say “talk is cheap”. However, I feel technology is becoming more prevalent in Sport Betting industry. Hopefully, it will create a more vibrant market with better options and more competition within the sports betting community.

Getting an Edge in Sports Betting: Contrarian Sports Investing

Many people enjoy sports, and sports fans often enjoy placing wagers on the outcomes of sporting events. Most casual sports bettors lose money over time, creating a bad name for the sports betting industry. But what if we could “even the playing field?”

If we transform sports betting into a more business-like and professional endeavor, there is a higher likelihood that we can make the case for sports betting as an investment.

The Sports Marketplace as an Asset Class

How can we make the jump from gambling to investing? Working with a team of analysts, economists, and Wall Street professionals – we often toss the phrase “sports investing” around. But what makes something an “asset class?”

An asset class is often described as an investment with a marketplace – that has an inherent return. The sports betting world clearly has a marketplace – but what about a source of returns?

For instance, investors earn interest on bonds in exchange for lending money. Stockholders earn long-term returns by owning a portion of a company. Some economists say that “sports investors” have a built-in inherent return in the form of “risk transfer.” That is, sports investors can earn returns by helping provide liquidity and transferring risk amongst other sports marketplace participants (such as the betting public and sportsbooks).

Sports Investing Indicators

We can take this investing analogy a step further by studying the sports betting “marketplace.” Just like more traditional assets such as stocks and bonds are based on price, dividend yield, and interest rates – the sports marketplace “price” is based on point spreads or money line odds. These lines and odds change over time, just like stock prices rise and fall.

To further our goal of making sports gambling a more business-like endeavor, and to study the sports marketplace further, we collect several additional indicators. In particular, we collect public “betting percentages” to study “money flows” and sports marketplace activity. In addition, just as the financial headlines shout, “Stocks rally on heavy volume,” we also track the volume of betting activity in the sports gambling market.

Sports Marketplace Participants

Earlier, we discussed “risk transfer” and the sports marketplace participants. In the sports betting world, the sportsbooks serve a similar purpose as the investing world’s brokers and market-makers. They also sometimes act in manner similar to institutional investors.

In the investing world, the general public is known as the “small investor.” Similarly, the general public often makes small bets in the sports marketplace. The small bettor often bets with their heart, roots for their favorite teams, and has certain tendencies that can be exploited by other market participants.

“Sports investors” are participants who take on a similar role as a market-maker or institutional investor. Sports investors use a business-like approach to profit from sports betting. In effect, they take on a risk transfer role and are able to capture the inherent returns of the sports betting industry.

Contrarian Methods

How can we capture the inherent returns of the sports market? One method is to use a contrarian approach and bet against the public to capture value. This is one reason why we collect and study “betting percentages” from several major online sports books. Studying this data allows us to feel the pulse of the market action – and carve out the performance of the “general public.”

This, combined with point spread movement, and the “volume” of betting activity can give us an idea of what various participants are doing. Our research shows that the public, or “small bettors” – typically underperform in the sports betting industry. This, in turn, allows us to systematically capture value by using sports investing methods. Our goal is to apply a systematic and academic approach to the sports betting industry.

Why Soccer (Football) Live Betting is Such a Profitable Business

Sports betting is increasingly becoming an emerging online business. Billions of $$$ are wagered on every match day. Live telecast of matches further intensify the excitement.

Bookmakers’ statistics revealed that soccer betting is the most popular among sports betting. Soccer is the most watched, most played and the highest grossing sport on the planet.

Why Soccer Is The King Of All Sports

Soccer is the King of all sports because it is a simple game so easily understood.

It is No. 1 because it is a sport that can stir up so much passion.

Each game is loaded with suspense… fantastic or reckless finishes, players pushing their human bodies to the limit or playing like zombies. This cocktail of emotions can be experienced in every match – the sickening feeling in the stomach, the anger, the joy, the elation. Its pure entertainment, and it makes the adrenaline flows faster and more intense.

At its best soccer is considered magic, that is why names like Maradona and Pele resonate across the world.

Soccer carries the largest fan base in the world of sports. More and more games are being televised live which means more games are offered for live betting than in any other sports niche.

The Internet and live telecasting of soccer matches have made soccer live betting immensely popular. (*Live betting is also known as in-running betting, in-play betting, in-game betting and running ball).

There is a wide variety of live bets available for punting such as Asian Handicap betting, full time score, half time score, full time over/under, half time over/under, number of corners full time, number of corners half time, etc.

The Odds Tell A Story

Many savvy punters now recognize the main difference between live bets and normal bets. Before the introduction of live betting, punters used past data and analysis to determine their bets. But with live bets, punters can now know how the match unfolds as the odds tell a story. The movement of the odds is an indication of the performance of the teams playing at that time.

Bookmakers adjust the odds by minutes or even seconds according to the level of play of the teams. So the odds movements tell the “scenario” from the bookmakers’ point of view which cannot be far off.

From the odds changes, the punter must be able to identify the odds indicators on the exact time to bet, and also the time to exit the bet, that is, to cut loss when necessary to limit the financial damage.

The ability to ‘decode the odds and read the game’ is the recipe for live betting success.

Profitable Live Bets On Every Match Day

In every match, there are numerous punting opportunities. There are profitable live bets to be made in the first 20 minutes of play, during the course of the game, and the last 10 minutes of the match. You do not need complex technical analysis to find them and profit from them. The key lies in the ability to identify them and profit from these opportunities.

In card games, if you want to win, you have to win the game. But the beauty of soccer live betting is you can still WIN if you have betted on the losing team.

In live betting, the odds indicators are profit opportunities. But the punter must know how to spot them to take profitable actions. It’s all about timing.

Have A Slice Of The Lucrative Soccer Live Betting Pie

Soccer live betting is absolutely insane right now! There’s never been a better time for punters to get in on the live betting bandwagon and have a slice of the lucrative soccer live betting pie.

Think about how many games are being played on every match day during the soccer season. That’s plenty of games begging for your action.

If you have never engaged in soccer live betting experience, you really don’t know what you have been missing.

Facts About Sports Betting Businesses

The betting trade gives to over 400,000 people winning prizes and offers huge tax income to local governments. Communities concerning sports betting have altered from an associate to an extensively conventional movement. Sports betting are synchronized as a consequence of participation. Illegal activities that some of these companies run, are outrageous! Based on some researches they have made money over $400 billion. So as you see not every company that handle spot betting operate legal and legit activities.

Sports betting businesses handle a comprehensive deal of making bets. There are a bulky amount of sports betting on global basis. These companies operate online and on handset sports betting choices. Some of them have created robots to predict some games. These robots have sophisticated devices that can help these companies to foresee some game’s results. The sports betting firms operate in various languages. People from everywhere participate in each game by putting their money on a particular play.

There are sport gambling firms that introduce the greatest bid of tax-free probability on sportive events. Some imply that certain sport companies that operate gambling have certain mob activities.

Who will verify the legality of such companies? Do they operate as a singular firm or do they operate as a syndicate and group of sport gambling companies? There are some gambling businesses that operate as a value chain and some operate as a single company. Businesses which run their gambling trade as a chain of companies, gain more power than those single companies and small gambling businesses.

Some companies such as: nightclub services and bettor’s services verify their money online in real time. Numerous businesses give a diversity of online sport by means of the alternative of 24/7. Sports gambling businesses usually approve businesses before taking farther activities. After the approval, they precede the gambling activities.

The bettor whose finances are secured can easily start their gambling venture in no time. Sports betting in supplement to their approval present bettor’s different sports upon which they may put their bets, bid bettors with a swarm of dissimilar kinds of bets. Sports gambling businesses are requisite to be approved and synchronized. The bettors who make their bet on the games are assured that their accounts are safe.

Many sport betting businesses encompass various offers such as: coupons, parlays and teasers. These businesses provide bets which comprise totals margin, futures alien singles, live plus Asian handicap. Players and gamblers from around the world participate in playing at these online gaming. Every year such companies earn not only their return of investment but also their profit margin increase every year. Many players put their money on the most important sport games. This way they can win a lot of money. Some as I have mentioned earlier in this article apply mechanisms and robots to predict some games. Thus an outsized quantity of money will be placed on games that have higher probability in winning!

As many online mechanisms have been computerized, many betting companies have been attempting to produce an artificial intelligent system that can help them to increase the probability of winning.

Betting is a Business – Gambling is For Idiots!

My question to you today is, how much profit are you really making from gambling? (And please be brutally honest with yourself when answering that question!)

I hope you are winning! If you are then well done to you, as that surely is the goal for most people, but even if you are a rare winning gambler, are you making as much as you could? However if you’re not a winner then don’t worry as your not alone. In fact you’re in very good company, as an amazing 98% of gamblers lose money long term.

So assuming you are not winning, do you know why?

Well I’m going to hazard a guess the reasons are something like this;

a) Betting in the wrong types of races,

b) Blindly backing favourites (especially odds on shots)

c) No sense of money management,

d) Undisciplined approach

e) Chasing losses

f) Maintaining a ‘gamblers mentality’.

However if 98% of people are losing money it stands to reason that 2% must be winning, so who are these elite 2% and what is it that they do differently to the majority?

Well the elite 2% are the professionals and semi-professionals like me and we approach betting as a business. The betting industry like to call us ‘professional gamblers’ but lets just make one thing absolutely clear here, one thing we are NOT are gamblers and this description couldn’t be further from the truth – we don’t bet for fun, or for the sake or thrill of it. We bet for one reason and one reason alone – TO MAKE A PROFIT!

I’ve said this many times before and I’m going to say it again – ‘Betting is a business and gambling is for idiots’ – So let me try and explain the difference between betting and gambling.

As I have already stated I am a professional and as such I am in the business of betting for only one reason – to secure slow and steady long term profitability. To achieve this outcome betting professionally has to be BORING and MUNDANE, from a psychological point of view the result of just one race becomes almost irrelevant to me, as in the long term I know I will make a profit from my betting strategies.

The point of running any business is to make a profit and to achieve this outcome I need the following three elements to work in my favour:

a) A betting bank,

b) A staking plan

c) A betting strategy which will deliver profits over the long term.

The betting bank needs to be big enough relative to my stake size to withstand the inevitable losing runs. It is also important that psychologically the betting stakes are well within my betting comfort zone, meaning that my pulse is never racing either before during or after a bet.

The moment your pulse starts to race should immediately alert you to the fact that you have stopped betting and are instead gambling, something has gone wrong with your strategy and you have become either uncomfortable with the size of your stake or have lost confidence in your chosen betting strategy. The inevitable result of this will be a breakdown of discipline and a desire to start chasing your losses, which is something I NEVER do. When I have a poor day then my attitude is always the same ‘cest la vie’, there will always another day.

I have many diverse and varied betting strategies within my betting portfolio but for the purposes of this exercise let me use my ‘Hughie’ Place Betting Strategy as an example of the above philosophy in action.

‘Hughie’ Place Betting Strategy

Here are the Hughie results for the six months to 01 June 2009. (I could use any 6 month period from over the past 9 years, in fact some previous half yearly figures would show higher profits. But these are the latest figures and emphasise the points I am trying to make.

The results are based on a betting bank of £400 and the stakes being used are as follows £2, £4, £8 and £12

Oct 1 + 77.63

Nov 1 +129.90

Dec 1 + 14.34

Jan 1 +179.83

Feb 1 +116.37

Mar 1 +169.58

Apr 1 – 3.62

May 1 + 13.81

Jun 1 + 77.78

The first thing you will notice is the relatively small and ‘boring’ size of the stakes I am using in relation to the size of the betting bank. By staking such a small percentage of the betting bank on the ‘Hughies’ takes all the stress away instantly, as the bank is never in any danger of going bust and the stake size is always well inside my betting comfort zone. Some of my members bet the ‘Hughies’ to much bigger stakes, however if the stakes are doubled or trebled then so must the bank.

As you can see you could comfortably follow this particular betting strategy to the advised stakes and at betfair sp safe in the knowledge that win, lose or draw over a long term period of say 6 months you would be comfortably in profit. You wouldn’t need to watch any races biting your finger nails praying that a particular horse hung on for a place, because you would be confident that the strategy works and one or two horses not placing wouldn’t make one jot of difference to the ability of the strategy to deliver a long term profit.

I keep using the phrase ‘long term’ because it is essential that you understand that it takes this long-term approach in order to succeed with any betting strategy. Just have another look at the ‘Hughie’ results above and you will clearly see that the months of March and April were not good months for the ‘Hughies’. At the time I remember saying regularly in my daily column that it was probably down to the transitional period of switching codes from the ‘jumps’ to the ‘flat’. For me though that’s just part and parcel of any strategy – we will have these bumps but will come away unscathed as all that matters is to maintain a long term strategy. The plan works, as it doesn’t require me to either lose faith or panic. That said any member who joined in March or April and followed my advice to concentrate on the ‘Hughies’ would have been pretty downhearted by the end of April as it would appear to them that the ‘Hughies’ are a poor bet. However any member joining last December enjoyed a terrific run and would have had a totally different opinion of both ‘place betting’ and me.

I think this point clearly demonstrates the importance of taking a long-term view of any betting strategy (12 months minimum I would argue)

Anyway this example of how safe, slow, steady, boring but consistent profits are generated month after month after month is just one aspect of a strategic and professional betting approach and hopefully demonstrates the difference between the excitement of gambling which is for thrill seekers and the boredom of betting which is my business.